Previews and Picks - Baseball Sunday, September 05, 2010

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Colorado at SAN DIEGO (-135) By Stephen Nover, Featured Handicapper

I am on a 65-43-2 run with my baseball free picks. On the Sunday card, I'm going to back the San Diego Padres for my free selection.

 
The Padres are reeling having lost nine in a row, their longest losing skid since 2003. A correction was coming since the Padres had been playing well above their heads.
 
But Clayton Richard has pitched like an ace when throwing at Petco Park and I see him getting the better of Jorge De La Rosa.
 
Richard is 6-4 with a 2.94 home ERA. He's allowed only five earned runs in his last four starts spanning 26 1/3 innings. San Diego is 9-1 the past 10 times Richard has gone against an NL West Division foe.
 
De La Rosa's ERA is nearly a run higher on the road. He's 4-2 with a 3.88 at Coors Field compared to 1-2 with a 4.81 road ERA. Lifetime against the Padres, De La Rosa, a southpaw, is 1-2 with a 5.48 ERA.
 
Colorado has dropped 16 of its last 23 road games. The Rockies are 1-4 in De La Rosa's past five road outings.
 
The Padres are 25-15 versus lefthanders. Only two of their defeats during their nine-game losing streak were against left-handed starters.
2♦ SAN DIEGO

Colorado at SAN DIEGO (-130) By Craig Davis, Featured Handicapper

A snap over the punter's head that results in a safety. A roughing the punter penalty. Three kickoffs that Washington gets inside their own 10 yard line. Horrible play calling in the second half. NO POINTS in the second half. All of this led to one of my most disappointing losses over the last two years. I have never seen a team that clearly has more talent get outcoached like I saw last night. Steve Sarkisian should be ashamed of himself.

 

That was the most pitiful coaching/special teams job over a four-quarter period I've ever seen in my life. You are supposed to have this prolific offense, yet you manage just 17 points (NONE in the second half) against a ridiculously bad defense???? Are you serious? BYU is a joke, folks. They will lose at least 6 games this year. How you score only 17 points against a young defense like this is beyond me. If Jake Locker goes #1 overall it's a complete joke. He's no Heisman candidate. He's a bum. So is this offensive line. So is the defense. So is the special teams. I don't know how else I can say it... the Huskies are a joke and will be lucky to win 4 games this season... a clear setback from a year ago and a season that might mark the end of Sarkisian.  My apologies for trusting these bums.

 

I will bounce back.

I won over 115 dimes over the previous two days and I did lessen the blow by winning my bonus play on Kansas State. I will bounce back... I always do.

 

Today's free play is on the San Diego Padres over Colorado. There is no way they lose #10 in a row... not against Colorado, not at home.

 

San Diego, which hadn’t lost more than three in a row before this slide, is trying to avoid dropping 10 straight for the first time since a franchise-worst 13-game skid May, 1994. A 10-game slide also doesn’t bode well for the club’s playoffs hopes.

 

San Diego will try to beat Jorge De La Rosa (5-4, 4.26 ERA), who has allowed two runs or fewer in each of his last three starts and only three in his last outing. Against San Francisco on Monday, De La Rosa allowed one run and four hits while striking out nine in seven innings of a 2-1 win, but didn’t earn a decision.

 

Clayton Richard counters for San Diego with a 12-6 record and a 3.50 ERA. After posting a 1.45 ERA in winning his previous three starts, Richard allowed four runs - two earned - and four hits in 7 2-3 innings of a 5-0 loss to Philadelphia last Sunday. Still a decent outing but not nearly as dominant as he had been. He will bounce back today with stellar performance as the Padres break out of this funk.

3♦ SAN DIEGO
Brandon Lang Fired?
1 Day of Access HyperLink $69
7 Days of Access HyperLink $219
30 Days of Access HyperLink $729
Padres (Richard -130)80%
Tigers (Galarraga -125)78%
Astros (Happ PK)75%
A's (Mazzaro -115)75%
Tulsa (+7)68%
Braves (Minor -115)66%
TUL-ECU (Under 59)63%
SMU-T.T. (Under 60)63%
 
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